Welcome back to CLEATZ, where prediction markets, player props, and public betting data collide to uncover the smartest bets and the sharpest statistical edges.
Today’s newsletter is loaded with Super Bowl 60 data, trends, and largest public wagers. A major piece of legal news impacting Prediction Markets is also worth your attention.
👉 Super Bowl LX: Patriots vs. Seahawks
Super Bowl 60 betting had shown clear, steady movement toward Seattle earlier this week, but Patriots has begun to flow in. The Seahawks opened at -3.5 and were immediately met with heavy action, pushing to -4.5.
Over the past 48 hours, spread bet tickets have moved from the 80% range on Seattle, to 69% as of this morning.
Patriots vs. Seahawks Public Bets - DraftKings
Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seahawks | -4.5 | 76% | 69% | 45.5 | 62% | 56% |
Patriots | +4.5 | 24% | 31% | 45.5 | 38% | 44% |
🏈 Super Bowl Props Public Betting Report (via BetMGM)
Most Bet Player Props
① Kenneth Walker III UNDER 73.5 rush yds
② Drake Maye OVER 37.5 rush yds
③ TreVeyon Henderson OVER 0.5 receptions
④ Kenneth Walker III OVER 20.5 rec yds
⑤ Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 pass TDs
Most Bet Rushing Props
① Kenneth Walker III UNDER 73.5 rush yds
② Drake Maye OVER 37.5 rush yds
③ Kenneth Walker III UNDER 15.5 longest rush
④ Sam Darnold OVER 2.5 rush att
⑤ Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 14.5 rush att
Most Bet Receiving Props
① TreVeyon Henderson OVER 0.5 receptions
② Kenneth Walker III OVER 20.5 rec yds
③ Hunter Henry OVER 37.5 rec yds
④ George Holani OVER 7.5 rec yds
⑤ Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions
Most Bet Anytime TDs
① Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) -115
② SEA D/ST +380
③ Drake Maye (NE) +250
④ Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +130
⑤ Kenneth Walker III (SEA) -190
Most Bet 1st TD
① Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) +600
② Kenneth Walker III (SEA) +375
③ Cooper Kupp (SEA) +1400
④ Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +900
⑤ Stefon Diggs (NE) +1400
💰 Largest Super Bowl Bets So Far….
The largest reported futures wager at U.S. sportsbooks on the Patriots was at DraftKings where Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy wagered $50,000 on New England at 35-1 odds back sometime in October 2025. The wager would win $1.75 million.
The largest reported SuperBowlLX futures bet now belongs to Mattress Mack. He placed a $2 million wager at Caesars Sportsbook on the AFC winning the SB at +200 odds before Sunday's championship games
📝 Recent Super Bowl Trends of Note
The Patriots failed to cover the spread in the AFC Championship game vs. Broncos, winning by 3 and closing as a 3.5-point favorite, while the Seahawks covered the spread against the Rams.
Since the NFL merger in 1970, teams that fail to cover the spread in the Conference Championship game are 4-10 SU and 2-11-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.
The Seahawks had a bye week entering the playoffs. The Patriots didn’t, playing in the Wild Card round. How much impact has the bye been when one team had it and the other didn’t enter the Super Bowl?
In the Super Bowl era, teams that didn’t play in the Wild Card game – had a bye entering playoffs – facing a team that did play in the Wild Card game or didn’t have a bye, are 4-13 SU and 2-14-1 ATS.
Super Bowl 60 is set in Santa Clara, California. In terms of distance, the Seahawks will be the team closer to the Super Bowl site vs. the Patriots. In SB history, the team closer to the site of the game is 34-25 SU. In the last 10 Super Bowls, the team closest to the game site has won 7 of 10 games.
The Super Bowl winner has been closer to the game site in 15 of the last 20 Super Bowls, dating back to 2006.
The Patriots will wear white jerseys for Super Bowl LX. Teams in white are 16-5 SU in the last 21 Super Bowls. New England is 5-0 SU in white jerseys this season
Broncos, Seahawks, Patriots, and Rams all won outright in the Divisional Round — and all four were favorites. The Patriots and Seahawks won in the Conference Championship — and both were favorites. This is the 3rd time since 1990 where the favorites went 6-0 SU in the Divisional and Conference Championship, with 1991 and 2004, and the 6th time overall in the Super Bowl era. In the Super Bowl for those five previous seasons, the favorite went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, finishing the perfect end of the year for favorites.
📊 Prediction Markets News
This is MAJOR news in the Prediction Markets world. This essentially means that many of the lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, may, I repeat, may, have no current legal standing.
Much more on this next week.
🏀 NBA Props Cheat Sheet Tonight
Our NBA data has been exceptionally strong this season. Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place. As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.
