Welcome back to the CLEATZ player props, public bets data, and prediction markets, where we break down the smartest bets and stat-based edges.
Every line below is based on verified sportsbook data, with prop hit rates, matchup notes, and a dash of wit from your favorite data nerds.
📊NFL Divisional Round Public Betting — DraftKings
Saturday, Jan 17
Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bills | +1.5 | 61% | 58% | 45.5 | 55% | 52% | -108 | 66% |
Broncos | -1.5 | 39% | 42% | 45.5 | 45% | 48% | -112 | 34% |
San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49ers | +7 | 65% | 76% | 45.5 | 16% | 34% | +280 | 56% |
Seahawks | -7 | 35% | 24% | 45.5 | 84% | 66% | -355 | 44% |
Sunday, Jan 18
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texans | +3 | 222% | 43% | 40.5 | 12% | 19% | +136 | 42% |
Patriots | -3 | 78% | 57% | 40.5 | 88% | 81% | -162 | 58% |
Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rams | -3.5 | 32% | 37% | 48.5 | 49% | 57% | -198 | 26% |
Bears | +3.5 | 68% | 63% | 48.5 | 51% | 43% | +164 | 74% |
🏈 NFL Props Cheat Sheet
🔥 Best Overall Form
Colby Parkinson Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
• 100% L5, 90% L10
• Multiple Rams pass-game angles showing up strongColby Parkinson Over 11.5 Longest Reception (-118)
• Same usage trend, cleaner single-play ceiling
📈 Rams–Bears Game Stands Out
Kyren Williams Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (-136)
• 100% L5 hit rate
• Low bar for a featured backRome Odunze Over 18.5 Longest Reception (-118)
• 80% L5 / 80% L10, strong DVP
• One-catch potential in a high-leverage spotMatthew Stafford Over 34.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
• 100% L5
• Game script favors volume
Safest Volume Anchors
Keon Coleman Over 1.5 Receptions (-240)
• 80% L10, heavy juice but extremely stableKenneth Walker III Over 1.5 Receptions (-168)
• 90% DVP L10
• Usage independent of game flow
Plus-Money / Edge Plays
Colby Parkinson Over 2.5 Receptions (+102)
• Correlates with Rams passing volume
• Same underlying usage as yardage linesCaleb Williams Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+106)
• 100% L5, playoff ceiling play
Parlay Core (Low Variance)
Kenneth Walker III Over 1.5 Receptions
Kyren Williams Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
Colby Parkinson Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Historic Trends
📊Miami vs. Indiana Public Bets - via DraftKings
🏈 CFB Title Game Cheat Cheat Sheet
🏆 Top Miami vs. Indiana CFB Title Game Picks
Best Form + Momentum
Elijah Sarratt Over 0.5 TD (-120)
• 90% L10, 80% L5
• Red-zone role clearly defined despite softer DVPRoman Hemby Over 0.5 Receptions (-184)
• 80% L10, 80% DVP
• Low bar, extremely high usage floor
Yardage Sweet Spots
Kaelon Black Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-136)
• 80% L5, 70% L10
• Game script supports volume carry pathCarson Beck Over 199.5 Passing Yards (-114)
• 70% L10
• Cleanest QB yardage line on the board
Plus-Money Touchdown Value
Omar Cooper Jr. Over 0.5 TD (+140)
• 70% L10
• Strong leverage play in a condensed target treeMalachi Toney Over 0.5 TD (+150)
• 80% L5
• Big-play dependency, but payoff justifies the risk
Safest Parlay Anchors
Roman Hemby Over 0.5 Receptions
Kaelon Black Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Carson Beck Over 199.5 Passing Yards
Low thresholds, repeatable usage, minimal variance.
