Welcome back to the CLEATZ player props, public bets data, and prediction markets, where we break down the smartest bets and stat-based edges.
Every line below is based on verified sportsbook data, with prop hit rates, matchup notes, and a dash of wit from your favorite data nerds.
🏀NBA Props Cheat Sheet Tonight
🔥Top NBA Selections
Best Overall (High Floor)
De’Andre Hunter Over 1.5 Assists (-152)
100% L5, 90% L10 with solid DVP — quiet but elite consistency.Day’Ron Sharpe Over 6.5 Rebounds (-177)
100% L5, strong matchup vs. Chicago; role-secure rebounding.
Strong Secondary Plays
Naz Reid Over 4.5 Rebounds (-167)
100% DVP L5, 80% DVP L10 — Houston matchup boosts board chances.Isaac Okoro Over 2.5 Rebounds (-166)
Clean 80% across L5/L10/DVP — very stable parlay piece.Matas Buzelis Over 1.5 Assists (-137)
90% L10 with consistent usage.
Value / Plus-Money Looks
Tari Eason Over 1.5 Threes (+126)
100% DVP L5 — matchup-driven value if minutes hold.John Collins Over 1.5 Threes (+150)
80% L5/L10 — volatile, but price compensates.
Safest Parlay Anchors
De’Andre Hunter Over 1.5 Assists
Day’Ron Sharpe Over 6.5 Rebounds
Isaac Okoro Over 2.5 Rebounds
Low variance, role-secure, and trend-backed.
📊NFL Divisional Round Public Betting — DraftKings
Saturday, Jan 17
Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bills | +1.5 | 61% | 58% | 45.5 | 55% | 52% | -108 | 66% |
Broncos | -1.5 | 39% | 42% | 45.5 | 45% | 48% | -112 | 34% |
San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49ers | +7 | 65% | 76% | 45.5 | 16% | 34% | +280 | 56% |
Seahawks | -7 | 35% | 24% | 45.5 | 84% | 66% | -355 | 44% |
Sunday, Jan 18
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
Nico Collins has been ruled out for the Texans.
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texans | +3 | 222% | 43% | 40.5 | 12% | 19% | +136 | 42% |
Patriots | -3 | 78% | 57% | 40.5 | 88% | 81% | -162 | 58% |
Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears moved to +4.5 over night and we have seen some action come off Chicago with that move.
Team | Spread | Spread Handle | Spread Bets | Total | Total Handle | Total Bets | ML | ML Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rams | -4.5 | 43% | 39% | 48.5 | 49% | 57% | -198 | 26% |
Bears | +4.5 | 57% | 61% | 48.5 | 51% | 43% | +164 | 74% |
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Historic Trends
📊Miami vs. Indiana Public Bets - via DraftKings
🏈 CFB Title Game Cheat Cheat Sheet
🏆 Top Miami vs. Indiana CFB Title Game Picks
Best Form + Momentum
Elijah Sarratt Over 0.5 TD (-120)
• 90% L10, 80% L5
• Red-zone role clearly defined despite softer DVPRoman Hemby Over 0.5 Receptions (-184)
• 80% L10, 80% DVP
• Low bar, extremely high usage floor
Yardage Sweet Spots
Kaelon Black Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-136)
• 80% L5, 70% L10
• Game script supports volume carry pathCarson Beck Over 199.5 Passing Yards (-114)
• 70% L10
• Cleanest QB yardage line on the board
Plus-Money Touchdown Value
Omar Cooper Jr. Over 0.5 TD (+140)
• 70% L10
• Strong leverage play in a condensed target treeMalachi Toney Over 0.5 TD (+150)
• 80% L5
• Big-play dependency, but payoff justifies the risk
Safest Parlay Anchors
Roman Hemby Over 0.5 Receptions
Kaelon Black Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Carson Beck Over 199.5 Passing Yards
Low thresholds, repeatable usage, minimal variance.
Prediction Markets This Week
NOTE: We will be rapidly expanding our Prediction Markets coverage next week.
